Reform No Longer The Favourites To Win The Next Election
Reform UK is no longer the bookmakers’ favourite to win the most seats at the next UK general election, marking the first time the party has lost its top spot since May 2025.
Could it have something to do with all the ex-Tories joining Reform? Suella Braverman, Robert Jenrick, Nadhim Zahawi, etc. All names synonymous with the last Tory government which was an absolute shambles!
According to the latest odds from Ladbrokes and other major bookmakers, Labour has reclaimed the position of favourite.
Which goes to show how badly Reform UK is perceived, that people would rather have some more of a Labour government currently headed by Keir Starmer.
The latest market has Labour leading at 13/8, with Reform UK drifting to 7/4. The Tories are further back on 11/2, followed by the Greens at 8/1, Restore Britain at 20/1 and the Liberal Democrats at 40/1.
Aside from all the ex-Tories jumping ship to Reform, there’s also Rupert Lowe’s new party, Restore Britain, which could be splitting Reform’s potential vote share.
For the first time since May 2025, Reform UK are no longer favourites to win the most seats at the next General Election!
— Ladbrokes Politics (@LadPolitics) February 16, 2026
Here's how we bet:
Labour – 13/8
Reform UK – 7/4
Conservatives – 11/2
Greens – 8/1
Restore Britain – 20/1
Lib Dems – 40/1
Your Party – 200/1
Of course, a lot can and will happen between now and the next General Election in 2029. Betting markets are not predictions, but they do reflect what people are putting their money on, and it looks like punters are now less bullish on Reform.
I guess Thomas Skinner joining the gang didn’t have the desired effect.
