Polymarket Pulls Bets On Nuclear Detonation In 2026

Polymarket has removed its controversial prediction market regarding a potential nuclear weapon detonation in 2026, as the option becomes increasingly likely under Trump and Netanyanhu.

Titled “Nuclear weapon detonation by…?”, the market allowed users to bet on whether a nuclear weapon would be detonated (offensively, as a test, or accidentally) by specific dates: March 31, June 30, or by the end of 2026.

The decision to pull the bets comes after public backlash and scrutiny over the ethics of wagering on catastrophic loss of life and global conflict, and allowing people to profit from it.

Before its removal, the market indicated a 22% probability of a detonation occurring by the end of 2026, and had reached a trading volume of approximately $650,000 to $838,000 – having only run for a few hours.

The event page now displays the message: “The event has been archived,” and the company has deleted related promotional posts from social media.

The move also coincides with potential definite insider trading on other war-related markets. Specifically, six anonymous accounts reportedly won $1.2 million by correctly betting on US airstrikes in Iran on February 28, 2026, just hours before they occurred. Wonder whose buddies/family that could have been?

I guess that’s America for you; nobody does late stage capitalism better. Sports betting was legalised in 2018 and within eight years they’re taking bets on the end of the world. Incredible.

For the “mystery” person who won $400,000 by insider trading Nicolas Maduro’s capture before it happened, click HERE.